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Bryan Norcross: Sting jet or no sting jet & Simon and Trudy give forecasters fits in the Pacific

Last updated at 9:30 a.m. on Oct. 14, 2026The El Niño-driven band of upper-level winds stretches from the Gulf to the Caribbean to Africa. We still can't rule out a system developing in a random pocket of slightly supportive atmosphere outside of the band before this hurricane season ends, however, so we'll continue to watch.LATEST FROM FOX WEATHER HURRICANE SPECIALIST BRYAN NORCROSSFor now, no tropical development is expected for the foreseeable future.A comment about Hurricane Isaias: a lot ha

Winter arrives early across the Northern Rockies as heavy snow blankets the West

THE TAKEAWAY: Winter is arriving early across Montana and the Northern Rockies as heavy snow and rain blanket the region through Wednesday.WINTER MAKES AN EARLY APPEARANCE AS MOUNT WASHINGTON RECORDS FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWThe winter weather comes as moisture from the remnants of former Tropical Storm Rachel moves across the region.As Rachel’s remnants continue east toward New England, a deep dip in the jet stream is bringing colder air into the West, driving snowfall across the central and southe

SPC MD 2372

MD 2372 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 682... FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN KANSAS INTO NORTHERN MISSOURI Mesoscale Discussion 2372NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0858 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026Areas affected...portions of southern/eastern Kansas into northernMissouriConcerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 682...Valid 140158Z - 140400ZThe severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 682continues.SUMMARY...An isolated severe risk for primarily damaging/severe windgusts cont

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 684 Status Reports

WW 0684 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 684SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE BGSTO 35 WNW BGS TO 50 S LBB.IF CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE, REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE CANCELLED EARLY...KERR..10/14/26ATTN...WFO...MAF...STATUS REPORT FOR WS 684 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS TXC033-140440-TX . TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED AREBORDEN THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASEREFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICA

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 684

WW 684 SEVERE TSTM TX 140115Z - 140700Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm Watch Number 684NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK815 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of West Texas* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 815 PM until 200 AM CDT.* Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Isolate

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 683 Status Reports

WW 0683 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 683SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E CDS TO25 SSE P28...KERR..10/14/26ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...LUB...STATUS REPORT FOR WS 683 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS OKC009-015-017-027-031-051-055-057-065-075-087-109-141-149-140440-OK . OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED AREBECKHAM CADDO CANADIAN CLEVELAND COMANCHE GRADY GREER

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 683

WW 683 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 132150Z - 140500Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm Watch Number 683NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK450 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western Oklahoma The Eastern Texas Panhandle into Northwest Texas* Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 450 PM until Midnight CDT.* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 7

Hurricane Simon crawls along Mexico's Pacific coast, bringing floods and evacuations

Hurricane Simon crept northwest just ​off Mexico's Pacific coast on Monday, lashing western states with dangerous winds, ...

Hurricane Simon hits Mexico after storms kill 6

Hurricane Simon continued to move slowly up the coast of west-central Mexico after tropical weather systems caused six deaths and damage in Pacific coastal towns and resorts.

SPC MD 2367

MD 2367 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL NEW YORK Mesoscale Discussion 2367NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0308 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026Areas affected...Central New YorkConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 132008Z - 132215ZProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percentSUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is possible thisafternoon. A few storms may produce gusty/damaging winds. A watchis not currently anticipated.DISCUSSION...Latest visible

SPC MD 2368

MD 2368 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TO FAR SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS Mesoscale Discussion 2368NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0402 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026Areas affected...portions of the eastern Texas Panhandle to farsouthwestern TexasConcerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 132102Z - 132230ZProbability of Watch Issuance...60 percentSUMMARY...The threat for severe wind and hail will increase into theevening hours as sto

SPC MD 2366

MD 2366 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHWESTERN OKLAHOMA INTO SOUTHERN AND EASTERN KANSAS Mesoscale Discussion 2366NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0307 PM CDT Tue Oct 13 2026Areas affected...portions of far northwestern Oklahoma into southernand eastern KansasConcerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 132007Z - 132200ZProbability of Watch Issuance...80 percentSUMMARY...The threat for severe wind and hail will increase asstorms continue to b

Tropical Storm Trudy forms in Pacific, could rapidly intensify into powerful Category 4 hurricane

THE TAKEAWAYTropical Storm Trudy formed Tuesday in the Pacific as the strengthening El Niño climate pattern causes the basin to remain exceptionally active this season.MAPPING HURRICANE ISAIAS' DEADLY PATH: HOW THE VIOLENT CATEGORY 2 STORM UNFOLDED ACROSS FLORIDA AND GULF COASTFormerly designated Tropical Depression 21-E, Trudy currently has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph and is located about 490 miles south of Mexico.The storm is forecast to strengthen into a powerful Category 4 or stronger

Hurricane Isaias death toll rises to 6 in Florida as storm recovery continues

THE TAKEAWAYVERNON, Florida – The death toll in Florida from Hurricane Isaias has risen to six, Gov. Ron DeSantis announced during a news conference Tuesday.The updated storm-related death toll follows reports of two additional deaths: a woman who was killed when a tree fell on her home in Escambia County and a man who died from carbon monoxide poisoning after improperly using a generator.Gov. DeSantis said the newly announced deaths occurred "a little bit more post-storm" and were "attenuated f

First alert weather days: Tornado watch in effect until 8:00 p.m.

First Alert Weather Days will go into effect on Saturday and Sunday due to the risk of heavy rainfall and flash flooding in ...

Rain chances increase across central US as storm system taps Gulf moisture

A developing storm system will trigger showers and thunderstorms from the Rockies into the Plains and Midwest, possibly bring rain to major cities in the region.HURRICANE SIMON'S MOISTURE FUELS CROSS-COUNTRY MULTIDAY FLOOD THREAT FOR 40 MILLION FROM TEXAS TO ILLINOISTropical moisture associated with Hurricane Simon is being drawn northward into the southern Plains, where it will interact with a slow-moving front and an upper-level storm system to fuel heavy rain and thunderstorms across parts of

Southern California braces for first Santa Ana wind event of season, increasing late-week fire threat

THE TAKEAWAYLOS ANGELES — The first Santa Ana wind event of the season will arrive over Southern California later this week, increasing the wildfire threat beginning Thursday. WHAT ARE SANTA ANA AND DIABLO WINDS?A large area of high pressure is building over the Northwest, which will produce wind gusts over the Santa Ana mountains and across Southern California, including Los Angeles."As winds push over and down the mountain ranges across Southern California, the air will warm and dry, allowing

'Historic' El Niño increasingly likely, with 83% chance of becoming the strongest on record

THE TAKEAWAY: The chances of a potentially historic El Niño are increasing as the U.S. heads into winter, according to NOAA’s latest forecast. El Niño is expected to play a significant role in determining which regions across the country will see more rain and snow this winter.POWERFUL WAVES BATTER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST, DAMAGING HOMES AND TRIGGERING SINKHOLENOAA's October forecast now indicates an 83% chance that this will be the strongest El Niño since record-keeping began in 1950, up from

Bryan Norcross: The Atlantic looks quiet while hurricanes still threaten Mexico

Between cold fronts pushing south over the Gulf and Florida, and the El Niño-driven band of upper-level winds over the Atlantic, no tropical development is expected in the foreseeable future that could affect the U.S. or nearby areas.Is hurricane season over? There's a reasonable chance it is for us, but that's not 100%.LATEST FROM FOX WEATHER HURRICANE SPECIALIST BRYAN NORCROSSThe large disturbance over the far eastern Atlantic is still there, but strong upper-level winds are stretching it out

Strong storm could 'bomb' out off the Northeast coast, unleashing powerful winds and dangerous seas

THE TAKEAWAY: A powerful storm is expected to rapidly intensify off the New England coast and move into the Atlantic toward Canada as a cold front sweeps across the Northeast, bringing significant wind gusts and potentially hazardous conditions to the region.RECORD FALL HEAT WAVE TO BAKE THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN US BEFORE A PLUNGE TO COLD TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKENDThe area of low pressure developing along the cold front, which is expected to end the record-setting heat and usher in a fall chill, w