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SPC MD 2337
MD 2337 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS INTO EXTREME NORTHERN OKLAHOMA Mesoscale Discussion 2337NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0221 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026Areas affected...portions of central Kansas into extreme northernOklahomaConcerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 301921Z - 302145ZProbability of Watch Issuance...60 percentSUMMARY...A few of the stronger storms may produce brief tornadoesthis afternoon. Timing of a Tornado Wa
SPC MD 2338
MD 2338 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN TEXAS Mesoscale Discussion 2338NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0256 PM CDT Wed Sep 30 2026Areas affected...portions of western TexasConcerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 301956Z - 302200ZProbability of Watch Issuance...40 percentSUMMARY...At least a few severe gusts and a couple instances of hailare possible with the stronger storms that can develop over the nextseveral hours. Assuming storms
See it: Florida memorial bench swept away during Hurricane Helene found over 1,000 miles away in Bermuda
THE TAKEAWAYTAMPA, Florida – A memorial bench dedicated to a Florida father was thought to be lost forever after Hurricane Helene battered Florida’s Gulf Coast in 2024 — until it resurfaced on a beach in Bermuda nearly two years later.Amanda Sadiku’s father, Medhat "Mike" Sadiku, passed away September 3, 2012, and in 2018, a memorial bench dedicated to her late father was installed on the Dunedin Causeway on the waterfront of Florida's Gulf Coast. Hurricane Helene’s devastating impacts in North
October outlook: Summer tries to hold on with El Niño impacts expected to make a spooky appearance
THE TAKEAWAYAs the calendar turns to October, a rapidly strengthening El Niño climate pattern will make its presence felt across the Lower 48, most notably bringing more storms and rain to the Gulf Coast while the Northwest and Upper Midwest stay dry.Average fall temperatures to slightly above-average conditions are expected across most of the country through October, with the Rockies and Northern Plains most likely to experience unseasonable warmth.TEXAS IN BULL'S-EYE OF DANGEROUS, TROPICALLY E
Hurricane Rachel aims to become major hurricane as its moisture begins to fuel dangerous US flood threat
THE TAKEAWAYHurricane Rachel could become the latest major hurricane in the Pacific, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC), as its moisture is pulled up behind the remnants of Polo to fuel a dangerous flood threat across much of the Central U.S.Rachel is currently a Category 1 storm, with maximum sustained winds of 85 mph, about 225 miles southwest of Cabo Corrientes, Mexico. It is forecast to rapidly strengthen through the day on Wednesday.OVER 150M FACE DANGEROUS, WEEKLONG FLOOD THR
Bryan Norcross: In October we'll keep an eye on the southwestern Gulf
Updated at 9:00 a.m. on Wednesday, Sept. 30, 2026In a typical October, a large area of low-pressure spans from the Pacific to the western Caribbean to the southwestern Gulf – the so-called Central American Gyre. Occasionally, deep dips in the jet stream interact with the gyre and an independent disturbance gets pulled north. Sometimes, a tropical disturbance that originated over Africa gets absorbed into the gyre, energized, and deflected into the Gulf.During the fall, fronts can dip south leavi
Hurricane Polo swell keeps coast on flood alert
LOS ANGELES - Hurricane Polo's swell is expected to coincide with late-morning high tides Tuesday, keeping the county's ...
Valuable trees poisoned by diesel fuel prompt officials to offer hefty reward for any information
THE TAKEAWAYINCLINE VILLAGE, Nev. – Valuable tees continue to die off at Burnt Cedar Beach in Nevada after an unknown person poisoned multiple trees in the area.Officials have discovered over a dozen trees, worth hundreds of thousands of dollars, have been poisoned since May 26, according to the Incline Village General Improvement District (IVGID).Because of this, local officials are resorting to alternative methods to find out who has been poisoning trees at Burnt Cedar Beach in Nevada.FALL HUN
SPC MD 2334
MD 2334 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN ARIZONA Mesoscale Discussion 2334NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0326 PM CDT Tue Sep 29 2026Areas affected...portions of southeastern ArizonaConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 292026Z - 292200ZProbability of Watch Issuance...5 percentSUMMARY...A severe gust or brief tornado may occur with one of thestronger storms this afternoon. The severe threat should remainsparse, with a WW issuanc
Tropical one-two punch threatens Southwest with days of heavy rain and major flooding
The Southwestern U.S. is set for wet, nasty storm conditions this week as Tropical Storms Polo and Rachel threaten the region with flooding.A major flood threat over the next few days will plague the Southwest as tropical moisture from Polo and Rachel surges northward from Mexico.TIMELINE: WHEN WILL DANGEROUS, TROPICALLY ENHANCED FLOODING REACH THE SOUTHWEST, SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDWEST?On Tuesday, a surge of tropical moisture will target the Southwest across Arizona, New Mexico and Colorado, wi
Bryan Norcross: A tropics update plus the question: should the nor'easter have been named?
The nor'easter produced winds that gusted near hurricane force and major coastal damage from the Carolinas to New England. So should the storm have gotten a name?My answers are no and yes.NOR'EASTER TURNS DEADLY AS STORM LASHES THE EAST COAST WITH MORE DESTRUCTIVE FLOODING, VIOLENT WINDSSo no, the National Hurricane Center should not have taken over the forecasting and communications surrounding the nor'easter. It was not a tropical system. It was a non-tropical storm technically called a warm s
Over 150M face dangerous, weeklong flood threat across 30+ states fueled by powerful Pacific tropical systems
THE TAKEAWAYA dangerous weeklong flash flood threat will spread from the Southwest into the Plains and Midwest, eventually stretching from Texas to Minnesota and putting more than 150 million people at risk as moisture from Hurricane Polo and Tropical Storm Rachel, churning in the Pacific, fuel intense thunderstorms.A Flood Watch currently covers 12 states, with more states expected to be added in the coming days.HURRICANE POLO LASHES MEXICO WITH LIFE-THREATENING FLOODING AS TROPICAL STORM RACHE
SPC MD 2330
MD 2330 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA VICINITY Mesoscale Discussion 2330NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0240 PM CDT Mon Sep 28 2026Areas affected...western South Dakota vicinityConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 281940Z - 282145ZProbability of Watch Issuance...5 percentSUMMARY...Isolated strong to severe thunderstorms may producesporadic hail through evening. Severe potential is expected toremain limited, and a watch is not an
Steve Bender: Reflecting on Hurricane Helene 2 years later from a place close to home
NORTH CAROLINA — There are places you cover as a meteorologist that you know you'll remember. Then there are places that become part of you. For me, western North Carolina is one of those places.Long before the historic flooding from Hurricane Helene, before the images of homes ripped apart by rushing water, and the piles of debris and roads washed away from muddy landslides, I knew Asheville as a place of adventure. A place I experienced as a kid where I once wandered.REMAINS BELIEVED TO BE LIN
Timeline: When will dangerous, tropically enhanced flooding reach the Southwest, Southern Plains and Midwest?
THE TAKEAWAYA dangerous multiday flood event is developing across the Four Corners, Southwest and Plains this week as tropical moisture from Hurricane Polo, which is set to make landfall in Baja California, and the remnants of Odalys spread northward through the week.Monday will mark the first of five consecutive days in which NOAA's Weather Prediction Center (WPC) has issued Level 3 out of 4 flash flood risk. Flood Watches have been issued across nine states, including all of New Mexico through
Mobile home tornado alert says seek basement: Millions have none, NWS has different guidance
When a tornado warning alert reached Shantelle Quinones on the evening of August 20, it told her to seek shelter in a basement — and she had nowhere to go. Her mobile home on Halltown Road in Hartly, ...
Hurricane Nolo lashes Hawaii as new threat of 'volcanic hail' arises
Millions of Hawaii residents are on alert as Hurricane Nolo closes in and is forecast to bring heavy rain and winds.
First alert: Tracking Fay and another disturbance in the Atlantic
The National Hurricane Center continues to track Fay along with another disturbance.
Tropical Storm Hanna forms in the Atlantic, latest in limited spurt of activity amid impending Super El Niño
THE TAKEAWAYTropical Storm Hanna formed in the open waters of the Central Subtropical Atlantic later Monday morning, about 870 miles east-northeast of Bermuda, becoming just the eighth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.Hanna is not expected to strengthen much and will not be a threat to land.MONSTER CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE NOLO COULD STILL STRENGTHEN AS IT PULLS AWAY FROM HAWAII AFTER DUMPING HEAVY RAINNone of the eight storms that have formed in the basin this season have become hurrica
Bryan Norcross: Last day of nor'easter as the Atlantic minimally stirs, Polo to bring flooding to Southwest
Updated at 12 p.m. on Monday, Sept. 28, 2026.NOR'EASTER FADESThe system that was the mighty nor'easter has fully merged with an upper-level low-pressure system. It's now a weak version of its former self, but it's still going to spread gusty winds and rain from Long Island, New York, through New England.The storm's moisture will move out of the Northeast later today and clear New England tomorrow.NOR'EASTER TO BRING FINAL DAY OF RAIN TO MILLIONS AS COMMUNITIES ASSESS FLOOD AND BEACH DAMAGEWarm w