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Bryan Norcross: The tropics look to remain quiet well into August

The National Hurricane Center continues to predict an empty slate in the Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the Gulf through next week. Saharan dust continues to spread across the tropical Atlantic from Africa, while El Niño-driven hostile upper-level winds blow across the Caribbean from the Pacific.EL NIÑO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN TOWARD RECORD TERRITORY TWO MONTHS INTO THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASONYesterday, the long-range computer models were showing a mini consensus that something might try to deve

Magnitude 4.5 earthquake injures at least 2 dozen people in Italy, causes buildings to collapse

QUARTO, Italy - A magnitude 4.5 earthquake rocked southern Italy near Naples on Friday afternoon, injuring more than two dozen people.The earthquake happened at 1:46 p.m. ET, or 7:46 p.m. Italy time, on Friday.According to data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the earthquake was 3.1 miles beneath the surface and happened one mile north of Quarto, Italy, a town in the Phlegraean Fields or Campi Flegrei region west of Naples.JAPAN ROCKED BY SEVERAL EARTHQUAKES, INCLUDING MAGNITUDE 6.8 QUAKE

SPC MD 1815

MD 1815 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 536... FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI Mesoscale Discussion 1815NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1109 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026Areas affected...parts of southeastern MissouriConcerning...Tornado Watch 536...Valid 010409Z - 010615ZThe severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 536 continues.SUMMARY...Localized damaging wind gusts and/or a brief tornado maystill be possible with an evolving storm northwest through north ofPoplar Bluff through midnight-1 AM

SPC Tornado Watch 536 Status Reports

WW 0536 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 536THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1813..CHALMERS..07/31/26ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...STATUS REPORT FOR WT 536 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC007-019-027-029-051-053-055-065-067-071-073-089-091-093-105-113-125-131-135-137-139-141-149-151-153-161-163-169-173-175-179-203-215-219-221-225-229-312340-MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

SPC Tornado Watch 536

WW 536 TORNADO MO 312025Z - 010400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTornado Watch Number 536NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK325 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Missouri* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM CDT.* Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in d

SPC MD 1813

MD 1813 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 536... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI Mesoscale Discussion 1813NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0530 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026Areas affected...portions of central and eastern MissouriConcerning...Tornado Watch 536...Valid 312230Z - 010000ZThe severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 536 continues.SUMMARY...The potential for a tornado or two and damaging wind gustscontinues across portions of Tornado Watch 536.DISCUSSION...Scattered thundersto

Dangerous situation looms for the Northwest as intense winds could spread ongoing and new fires out of control

NORTHWEST – A historic wildfire season is already gripping the Pacific Northwest, where nearly 2 million acres have burned. Now, conditions could deteriorate rapidly in the days ahead as powerful winds threaten explosive fire growth, prompting warnings of a "particularly dangerous" stretch of fire weather.July has been an explosive month across the Pacific Northwest, with massive wildfires scorching the region. While the area continues to grapple with active fires, conditions are expected to bec

More rain targets hard-hit parts of the Northeast this weekend days after historic rainfall slammed the region

After a welcome stretch of summer sunshine this weekend, the Northeast is set for another round of unsettled weather, with heavy rain and flash flooding threatening parts of the region this weekend.On Saturday, a low-pressure system moving through the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes will be pushed east by an advancing cold front. As it does, deep moisture from the Atlantic Ocean will surge northward into the system, fueling a wet end of the weekend.By Sunday morning, widespread rain and thu

El Niño continues to strengthen toward record territory two months into the Atlantic hurricane season

As we inch closer to peak hurricane season, El Niño continues to strengthen, suppressing any tropical systems from developing as tropical waves move off the coast of Africa. We're two months into the Atlantic hurricane season, and we've seen two named storms so far: one in June and one in July. Multiple tropical waves are currently moving off the African coast into the Main Development Region of the Atlantic, but hostile winds, Saharan dust and ocean temperatures will determine whether any devel

Bryan Norcross: The midsummer tropical nap continues though there are hints it might wake up

Updated at 9:30 a.m. on Friday, July 31, 2026. There are no signs of any tropical development well into August, but there are early signs that the eastern Atlantic might become more hospitable to disturbances moving off Africa around the middle of the month.For now, the El Niño-driven hostile upper-level winds and Saharan dust are dominating the atmosphere over the Caribbean and the tropical Atlantic. In addition, the ocean water remains quite cool, though it's warming into a range that could su

SPC MD 1808

MD 1808 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 535... FOR SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEBRASKA...ADJACENT SOUTHWESTERN IOWA Mesoscale Discussion 1808NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0944 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026Areas affected...southern/eastern Nebraska...adjacent southwesternIowaConcerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 535...Valid 310244Z - 310445ZThe severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 535continues.SUMMARY...A cluster of strong thunderstorms is likely to bemaintained at least several

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 535 Status Reports

WW 0535 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 535SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S EAR TO20 ENE HSI TO 25 W OMA...KERR..07/31/26ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...STATUS REPORT FOR WS 535 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS IAC085-155-165-310540-IA . IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED AREHARRISON POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY NEC025-035-059-061-067-095-109-129-151-153-159-169-181-310540-NE . NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARECASS CL

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 535

WW 535 SEVERE TSTM NE 302335Z - 310600Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm Watch Number 535NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK635 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Nebraska* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 635 PM until 100 AM CDT.* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75 mph likely Isolated l

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 533

WW 533 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 301845Z - 310200Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm Watch Number 533NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK145 PM CDT Thu Jul 30 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western and Central Nebraska Southern South Dakota* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 145 PM until 900 PM CDT.* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 534 Status Reports

WW 0534 Status Updates <br /><a href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0534.html"><img src="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0534_radar.gif" border="1" alt="WW 0534 Status Image" hspace="1" vspace="1" width="525" height="459" align="center" /></a><pre>STATUS FOR WATCH 0534 HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED YET</pre><a href="https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ws0534.html">Read more</a>

SPC Severe Thunderstorm Watch 534

WW 534 SEVERE TSTM SD 302125Z - 310300Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDSevere Thunderstorm Watch Number 534NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK325 PM MDT Thu Jul 30 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Western into North-Central South Dakota* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 900 PM MDT.* Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible Isolated large hail events to

Missing hiker found dead between 2 national parks after family receives strange Garmin satellite alert

WYOMING — A man hiking between two popular national parks in the West was found dead nearly a week after being reported missing.Teton County Search and Rescue said a 28-year-old from Australia was found dead near an area known as Wigwams on the west slope of the Tetons in Teton County, Wyoming.WATCH: FISHERMAN NARROWLY AVOIDS BISON ENCOUNTER IN YELLOWSTONE NATIONAL PARKOfficials said evidence suggested that the man may have fallen from a steep, high-altitude ridge line that separates Grand Teton

Will wet weather dampen Lollapalooza and how much rain will Chicago receive?

CHICAGO, Ill. – One of the world's most iconic four-day festivals is underway in Chicago, but nasty wet weather could dampen plans to enjoy the music.The Lollapalooza festival runs from Thursday to Sunday, with music groups starting at 12 p.m. and ending at 10 p.m. each day.In light of such a large event and the lingering storm threat this weekend, experts at Kalshi are looking ahead to how much more rain people will experience in the Windy City by the end of this month.SUMMER STORMS SWAMPED NEW

Humidity to fuel Florida downpours through the weekend, raising flood and travel threats

TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — Millions of people across Florida face days of thunderstorms and heavy downpours through the weekend as oppressive humidity fuels repeated storms, creating a flash flood threat while pushing feels-like temperatures to nearly 115 degrees in some parts of the state.A slow-moving weather front that's draped above the panhandle and North Florida will trigger daily afternoon thunderstorms as it sags south slowly through the weekend.MILLIONS UNDER HEAT ALERTS AS LIFE-THREATENING HE

Bryan Norcross: No signs of tropical development well into August

Last updated at 9 a.m. on July 30A channel of strong upper-level winds is forecast to remain over the Caribbean for the foreseeable future, which will prohibit any tropical systems from organizing there. Saharan dust and dry air dominate the Atlantic. And the water temperatures over the main tropical-development region and the Caribbean remain unusually cool.LATEST FROM BRYAN NORCROSSIn addition, the Madden-Julian Oscillation or MJO, which can enhance or suppress tropical activity, is stuck in s