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Atlantic remains quiet as tropical waves roll off Africa amid unfavorable conditions
Peak hurricane season is approaching, though El Niño is continuing to strengthen — acting like a buffer that is limiting tropical activity as waves move off the coast of Africa.It’s been just over two months into the Atlantic hurricane season, and we've seen two named storms so far: one in June and one in July — Arthur and Bertha, respectively.Right now, numerous tropical waves are moving off the coast of Africa into the Main Development Region (MDR). These are essentially the starting blocks fo
SPC MD 1826
MD 1826 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA Mesoscale Discussion 1826NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0525 AM CDT Mon Aug 03 2026Areas affected...central and eastern North Dakota into northwestMinnesotaConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 031025Z - 031230ZProbability of Watch Issuance...5 percentSUMMARY...Isolated large hail is possible from storms across thenorthern Plains and Upper Midwest this mo
Bryan Norcross: Hostile conditions prevent tropical development for the foreseeable future
Disturbances are moving off Africa on schedule. If they take a northern track, they quickly run into Saharan dust and lose their moisture. If they take a southern track, they last longer, but they still have to run the dust gauntlet and eventually run into El Niño-driven hostile upper-level winds.Ocean water temperatures in the tropical Atlantic are cooler than they have been the last few years, so there's no extra energy to overcome the unsupportive atmospheric conditions.EL NIÑO CONTINUES TO S
SPC MD 1824
MD 1824 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR EASTERN PA INTO PARTS OF THE HUDSON VALLEY AND VICINITY Mesoscale Discussion 1824NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1129 PM CDT Sun Aug 02 2026Areas affected...Eastern PA into parts of the Hudson Valley andvicinityConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 030429Z - 030630ZProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percentSUMMARY...A localized wind-damage and brief-tornado threat cannot beruled out into the early overnight hours
SPC MD 1822
MD 1822 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS Mesoscale Discussion 1822NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1209 PM CDT Sun Aug 02 2026Areas affected...portions of the Central AppalachiansConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 021709Z - 021915ZProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percentSUMMARY...Sporadic strong wind gusts are possible through theafternoon. Overall severe potential is expected to remain limitedand a watch is not
SPC MD 1821
MD 1821 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NY Mesoscale Discussion 1821NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1154 AM CDT Sun Aug 02 2026Areas affected...portions of western NYConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 021654Z - 021830ZProbability of Watch Issuance...20 percentSUMMARY...An isolated risk for damaging wind gusts and perhaps atornado will skirt the international border near LakeOntario/western New York the next couple hours.DISCUSSIO
SPC MD 1820
MD 1820 CONCERNING SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY FOR PORTIONS OF GEORGIA...SOUTH CAROLINA...AND WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA Mesoscale Discussion 1820NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1145 AM CDT Sun Aug 02 2026Areas affected...portions of Georgia...South Carolina...and westernNorth CarolinaConcerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 021645Z - 021845ZProbability of Watch Issuance...5 percentSUMMARY...Sporadic, locally strong wind gusts are possible throughthe afternoon. Overall
East Coast faces double threat of flash flooding in the North and tropical downpours in the South
Another round of storms capable of causing flash flooding is expected to impact major cities on the East Coast to start the workweek.A busy weather pattern will bring widespread showers and thunderstorms to much of the East on Monday.EL NIÑO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN TOWARD RECORD TERRITORY TWO MONTHS INTO THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASONWhile the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic will face the greatest risk for flash flooding, tropical moisture will also fuel heavy rain and a few strong storms from the Car
Severe storms target Northern Plains and Midwest with hail and damaging winds to kick off August
Severe thunderstorms are set to return across portions of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, bringing large hail and damaging winds to the region.FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE AS UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE FUELS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHEASTAccording to the FOX Forecast Center, the severe weather threat will impact the area Monday before shifting toward heavy rain and flash flooding across parts of the Midwest by the middle of the week.Starting Monday, the severe weather threat will focus on east
Bryan Norcross: A slight chance a disturbance might sneak across the Atlantic this week
Updated at 9:45 a.m. ET on Sunday, Aug. 2, 2026.The National Hurricane Center continues to show crickets across the Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the Gulf into next weekend.A giant Saharan dust cloud dominates the eastern tropical Atlantic, while hostile upper-level winds are eliminating the possibility of development in the Caribbean.EL NIÑO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN TOWARD RECORD TERRITORY TWO MONTHS INTO THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASONIn the far eastern Atlantic, a large disturbance moved off Afri
Thousands evacuate as wind-driven wildfires explode near Spokane amid rare fire weather emergency
SPOKANE, Washington - Rapidly spreading wildfires are closing in on Spokane, Washington, as a dangerous situation continues to unfold across the Pacific Northwest.Thousands of residents have been forced to evacuate as multiple wildfires race across the Spokane area, triggering Level 3 "Go Now" orders, the evacuation of a VA medical center and the opening of emergency shelters across the region.STATE OF EMERGENCY ISSUED IN WASHINGTON AS DANGEROUS WILDFIRES SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTHWESTOfficials tra
World-renowned mountaineer Nirmal 'Nimsdai' Purja has died in avalanche, several others feared dead
PAKISTAN - Famed British Nepali climber Nirmal "Nimsdai" Purja was among those who died in an avalanche in Pakistan on Thursday.Local police said a 10-member international mountaineering team departed for a Broad Peak expedition through Karakoram Tours, Amazing Tours and Blue Sky Trek & Tours Company on July 30.HISTORIC AVALANCHE VICTIMS' FAMILIES 'DEVASTATED BEYOND WORDS' AS SEARCH FOR FINAL SKIER PUSHES INTO WEEKENDAccording to reports, the team was ascending from Camp II to Camp III on Br
Bryan Norcross: The tropics look to remain quiet well into August
The National Hurricane Center continues to predict an empty slate in the Atlantic, the Caribbean, and the Gulf through next week. Saharan dust continues to spread across the tropical Atlantic from Africa, while El Niño-driven hostile upper-level winds blow across the Caribbean from the Pacific.EL NIÑO CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN TOWARD RECORD TERRITORY TWO MONTHS INTO THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASONYesterday, the long-range computer models were showing a mini consensus that something might try to deve
Magnitude 4.5 earthquake injures at least 2 dozen people in Italy, causes buildings to collapse
QUARTO, Italy - A magnitude 4.5 earthquake rocked southern Italy near Naples on Friday afternoon, injuring more than two dozen people.The earthquake happened at 1:46 p.m. ET, or 7:46 p.m. Italy time, on Friday.According to data from the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the earthquake was 3.1 miles beneath the surface and happened one mile north of Quarto, Italy, a town in the Phlegraean Fields or Campi Flegrei region west of Naples.JAPAN ROCKED BY SEVERAL EARTHQUAKES, INCLUDING MAGNITUDE 6.8 QUAKE
SPC MD 1815
MD 1815 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 536... FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI Mesoscale Discussion 1815NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK1109 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026Areas affected...parts of southeastern MissouriConcerning...Tornado Watch 536...Valid 010409Z - 010615ZThe severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 536 continues.SUMMARY...Localized damaging wind gusts and/or a brief tornado maystill be possible with an evolving storm northwest through north ofPoplar Bluff through midnight-1 AM
SPC Tornado Watch 536 Status Reports
WW 0536 Status Updates STATUS REPORT ON WW 536THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1813..CHALMERS..07/31/26ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...STATUS REPORT FOR WT 536 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS MOC007-019-027-029-051-053-055-065-067-071-073-089-091-093-105-113-125-131-135-137-139-141-149-151-153-161-163-169-173-175-179-203-215-219-221-225-229-312340-MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SPC Tornado Watch 536
WW 536 TORNADO MO 312025Z - 010400Z URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTornado Watch Number 536NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK325 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a* Tornado Watch for portions of Central and Eastern Missouri* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until 1100 PM CDT.* Primary threats include... A couple tornadoes possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in d
SPC MD 1813
MD 1813 CONCERNING TORNADO WATCH 536... FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSOURI Mesoscale Discussion 1813NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK0530 PM CDT Fri Jul 31 2026Areas affected...portions of central and eastern MissouriConcerning...Tornado Watch 536...Valid 312230Z - 010000ZThe severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 536 continues.SUMMARY...The potential for a tornado or two and damaging wind gustscontinues across portions of Tornado Watch 536.DISCUSSION...Scattered thundersto
Dangerous situation looms for the Northwest as intense winds could spread ongoing and new fires out of control
NORTHWEST – A historic wildfire season is already gripping the Pacific Northwest, where nearly 2 million acres have burned. Now, conditions could deteriorate rapidly in the days ahead as powerful winds threaten explosive fire growth, prompting warnings of a "particularly dangerous" stretch of fire weather.July has been an explosive month across the Pacific Northwest, with massive wildfires scorching the region. While the area continues to grapple with active fires, conditions are expected to bec
More rain targets hard-hit parts of the Northeast this weekend days after historic rainfall slammed the region
After a welcome stretch of summer sunshine this weekend, the Northeast is set for another round of unsettled weather, with heavy rain and flash flooding threatening parts of the region this weekend.On Saturday, a low-pressure system moving through the Ohio Valley and southern Great Lakes will be pushed east by an advancing cold front. As it does, deep moisture from the Atlantic Ocean will surge northward into the system, fueling a wet end of the weekend.By Sunday morning, widespread rain and thu
